On June 12, 2026, a US export-control directive suspended public access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. Whether - and when - Fable 5 comes back is now an open question with a lot of noise around it.
FableRadar turns that question into a single number. It is an independent, real-time index that estimates the probability that Claude Fable 5 returns to public availability, updated continuously as the situation develops. A high score means a thaw looks likely; a low score means the lock is holding.
The score blends free, public signals - official communications, regulatory news flow, and the volume of public discussion - each scored deterministically and smoothed over time. No Claude or Anthropic API is used, and tone is measured with transparent keyword rules rather than a model. The full breakdown is on the methodology page.
FableRadar is an independent side project built by Kevin Azoulay, a Paris-based growth and data engineer (LinkedIn). It is not affiliated with, authorized by, or endorsed by Anthropic or any government body.
This is an experimental index for informational and entertainment purposes only - not official intelligence and not advice of any kind. Treat the number as one lens on a developing story, not a forecast to act on.